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Balance of Payments (BoP) of India – UPSC Notes

Balance of Payments (BoP) is a systematic record of all economic transactions between a country and the rest of the world over a specific period/year
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Balance of Payments (BoP) of India

What is Balance of Payments (BoP)?

Balance of Payments (BoP) is a systematic record of all economic transactions between a country and the rest of the world over a specific period (usually a year). It provides a comprehensive picture of India's economic interactions with the global economy.

Balance of Payments


👉 BoP consists of two main accounts: Current Account and Capital Account.

Diagram: Structure of India's Balance of Payments

            Balance of Payments (BoP)
                    │
    ┌───────────────┴───────────────┐
    │                               │
Current Account                  Capital Account
    │                               │
    ├── Merchandise Trade           ├── Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)
    │   (Goods Exports - Imports)   ├── Foreign Portfolio Investment (FPI)
    │                               ├── External Commercial Borrowings (ECBs)
    ├── Services Trade              ├── Non-Resident Deposits (NRI Deposits)
    │   (IT, Tourism, etc.)         ├── Foreign Exchange Reserves
    │                               ├── Other Financial Flows
    ├── Primary Income (Investments, Salaries, Interest)
    ├── Secondary Income (Remittances from NRIs)

🔹 Current Account = Trade Balance + Services + Transfers + Income
🔹 Capital Account = FDI + FPI + Loans + Forex Reserves + Other Financial Flows
🔹 BoP Surplus or Deficit = Current Account + Capital Account + Errors & Omissions


Components of Balance of Payments (BoP)

1. Current Account (Records flow of goods, services, and income)

🔹 (A) Trade in Goods (Merchandise Trade)

  • Exports: Goods sold to other countries (e.g., petroleum, textiles, pharmaceuticals).
  • Imports: Goods bought from other countries (e.g., crude oil, gold, machinery).
  • Trade Balance = Exports - Imports
  • India usually has a trade deficit due to high import dependency on crude oil, electronics, and gold.

🔹 (B) Trade in Services (Invisible Trade)

  • Exports of IT services, financial services, travel, and consultancy.
  • India has a service trade surplus due to strong IT and business process outsourcing (BPO) industries.

🔹 (C) Net Income (Primary Income)

  • Includes interest, dividends, salaries, and profits earned from foreign investments.

🔹 (D) Net Transfers (Secondary Income)

  • Includes remittances sent by Indians working abroad (a major source of forex for India).

Current Account Deficit (CAD) = Total Exports & Inflows - Total Imports & Outflows

  • If CAD is high, it puts pressure on forex reserves and weakens the rupee.
  • India usually runs a CAD, except in rare years of surplus.


Case Study: India's Current Account Deficit (CAD) in 2023-24

Background:

India has historically run a current account deficit (CAD) because it imports more than it exports.

Key Data (FY 2023-24):

  • Trade Deficit: $75.3 billion (July-Sept 2024).
  • Services Surplus: $40 billion (led by IT and financial services).
  • Remittances from NRIs: $110 billion (World Bank estimates).
  • Overall CAD: 1.2% of GDP ($11.2 billion).

Reasons for CAD:

✔ High Oil Imports: India imports ~85% of its oil, leading to a trade deficit.
✔ Electronics & Gold Imports: Demand for consumer electronics and gold is rising.
✔ Sluggish Merchandise Exports: Global economic slowdown affected demand.
✔ Strong Rupee: Affects price competitiveness of Indian goods abroad.

Impact of CAD:

🔹 Leads to depreciation of the rupee, making imports expensive.
🔹 Reduces foreign exchange reserves if not covered by capital inflows.
🔹 Increases reliance on foreign capital (FDI, FPI, external loans).

Measures Taken:

✅ Production-Linked Incentive (PLI) Scheme: Boosting domestic manufacturing.
✅ Free Trade Agreements (FTAs): India signed agreements with UAE and Australia.
✅ Export Promotion Schemes: Focus on pharmaceuticals, textiles, and engineering goods.



2. Capital Account (Records inflows and outflows of capital)

🔹 (A) Foreign Direct Investment (FDI):

  • Long-term investments in Indian companies, factories, and infrastructure.
  • Encouraged by policies like Make in India, Production-Linked Incentive (PLI), and Ease of Doing Business.

🔹 (B) Foreign Portfolio Investment (FPI):

  • Investments in Indian stock markets, bonds, and financial assets.
  • More volatile than FDI as investors withdraw funds quickly in case of global uncertainty.

🔹 (C) External Commercial Borrowings (ECBs):

  • Loans taken by Indian businesses from international lenders.

🔹 (D) Non-Resident Deposits (NRI Deposits):

  • Money deposited in Indian banks by Non-Resident Indians (NRIs).

🔹 (E) Changes in Foreign Exchange Reserves:

  • Managed by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to stabilize the rupee.

Capital Account Surplus:

  • When capital inflows (FDI, FPI, loans) exceed outflows.
  • India generally runs a capital account surplus, which helps finance the current account deficit (CAD).

3. Errors and Omissions

  • Statistical discrepancies that arise while recording transactions.

India’s Balance of Payments – Recent Trends (2024)

📌 Current Account Deficit (CAD):

  • India’s CAD in Q2 FY25 (July-Sept 2024) = $11.2 billion (1.2% of GDP).
  • Improved from previous quarters due to strong services exports and remittances.

📌 Trade Deficit:

  • Merchandise trade deficit widened to $75.3 billion in Q2 FY25 due to high imports of oil and electronics.

📌 BoP Surplus:

  • India recorded a BoP surplus of $18.6 billion due to strong FDI and remittances.

📌 Forex Reserves:

  • India’s forex reserves stood at ~$615 billion (Jan 2024), providing import cover for over 10 months.

📌 FDI & FPI Trends:

  • FDI inflows remained stable, while FPI saw net outflows due to global economic uncertainty.

(Source: RBI & Reuters)


Factors Affecting India’s BoP

📌 1. Global Trade Conditions:

  • A slowdown in global demand affects India's exports.

📌 2. Crude Oil Prices:

  • India imports ~85% of its oil; rising prices widen the trade deficit.

📌 3. Rupee Exchange Rate:

  • A weaker rupee makes exports competitive but raises import costs.

📌 4. Foreign Investments:

  • Stable FDI and FPI are crucial to finance the CAD.

📌 5. Government Policies:

  • Export incentives, PLI scheme, Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) impact BoP.

Measures to Improve India's BoP

📌 1. Reducing Trade Deficit:

  • Boosting domestic manufacturing to reduce imports (PLI scheme, "Make in India").
  • Diversifying export markets beyond the US and EU.

📌 2. Strengthening Services Exports:

  • Promoting IT, tourism, healthcare, and financial services exports.

📌 3. Managing Forex Reserves:

  • RBI intervenes to stabilize the rupee and control volatility.

📌 4. Encouraging FDI and FPI:

  • Liberalizing investment policies to attract stable foreign capital.

📌 5. Reducing External Debt:

  • Encouraging domestic savings and investments to reduce reliance on foreign loans.

Key Takeaways for UPSC (Prelims & Mains)

BoP is a crucial economic indicator showing India's financial health.
India generally has a current account deficit and a capital account surplus.
FDI and remittances are major sources of foreign exchange.
High oil imports and trade deficits remain key challenges.
Government policies like "Atmanirbhar Bharat" and PLI aim to improve trade balance.


Here are some diagrams and case studies to help you understand the Balance of Payments (BoP) of India more effectively.



Case Study: How India Manages Foreign Exchange Reserves

Background:

  • Forex reserves are crucial for BoP stability.
  • India’s forex reserves reached ~$615 billion in Jan 2024 (RBI).
  • Provides an import cover of over 10 months (safe level).

How RBI Manages Forex Reserves:

🔹 Intervention in Currency Markets: Buys/sells dollars to stabilize the rupee.
🔹 Gold Reserves: Part of forex is held as gold (~800 metric tons).
🔹 Investment in Foreign Bonds: Reserves are invested in US Treasury Bonds.
🔹 Swap Agreements: India has currency swap deals with Japan, UAE, and other countries.

Why Forex Reserves Matter:

✔ Helps maintain investor confidence and attract FDI/FPI.
✔ Shields India from external shocks like oil price spikes.
RBI can use reserves to prevent sharp rupee depreciation.


Diagram: India’s Current Account Deficit vs. Capital Account Surplus

                         India's BoP (2023-24)
                                 │
      ┌──────────────────────────┴───────────────────────────┐
      │                                                      │
  Current Account Deficit (-1.2% of GDP)            Capital Account Surplus (+2% of GDP)
      │                                                      │
  ┌───┴──────────┐                                  ┌────────┴──────────┐
  │              │                                  │                    │
Trade Deficit  Services Surplus              FDI Inflows          Forex Reserves
  (↓ Exports)     (↑ IT)                        (↑ $80B)                ($615B)

🔹 India's CAD is financed by capital inflows like FDI, FPI, and forex reserves.
🔹 Capital Account Surplus is higher than CAD, leading to a BoP surplus.


 Important UPSC Prelims & Mains Keywords

📌 Current Account Deficit (CAD) – Imports > Exports, leads to forex outflows.
📌 Trade Deficit – Difference between merchandise exports & imports.
📌 BoP Surplus – When capital inflows exceed the current account deficit.
📌 Foreign Exchange Reserves – Managed by RBI, ensures financial stability.
📌 Remittances – NRI money sent to India, a major BoP support.
📌 FDI vs. FPI – FDI is stable, while FPI is volatile.
📌 Rupee Depreciation – Affects import costs and BoP.


Conclusion:

✔ India’s BoP is stable but dependent on capital inflows.
Managing CAD is crucial to prevent forex depletion and rupee depreciation.
Government policies focus on export promotion, domestic manufacturing, and FDI growth.


MCQs on Balance of Payments (BoP):


1. Balance of Payments (BoP) consists of which of the following accounts?

A) Current Account
B) Capital Account
C) Financial Account
D) All of the above

Answer: D) All of the above

📌 Explanation: The Balance of Payments (BoP) consists of the Current Account (trade of goods & services, remittances), Capital Account (FDI, FPI, loans, reserves), and Financial Account (monetary transactions).


2. Which of the following is a component of the Current Account in BoP?

A) Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)
B) Portfolio Investment
C) Net exports of goods and services
D) External borrowings

Answer: C) Net exports of goods and services

📌 Explanation: The Current Account includes:
✔ Trade balance (exports – imports of goods)
✔ Net services trade (IT, tourism, banking)
✔ Net income from abroad (remittances, dividends)
✔ Current transfers (gifts, grants)


3. A situation where India’s imports exceed its exports in the Balance of Payments is called?

A) Balance of Payments Deficit
B) Current Account Deficit (CAD)
C) Capital Account Surplus
D) Fiscal Deficit

Answer: B) Current Account Deficit (CAD)

📌 Explanation: A Current Account Deficit (CAD) occurs when a country imports more goods, services, and capital than it exports, leading to an outflow of foreign exchange.


4. Which of the following would lead to an appreciation of the Indian Rupee?

A) Increase in Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)
B) Increase in imports of crude oil
C) Decline in software exports
D) Higher inflation in India compared to the USA

Answer: A) Increase in Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)

📌 Explanation: When FDI inflows increase, there is a higher demand for the rupee, leading to its appreciation. Higher imports or lower exports weaken the rupee.


5. A persistent Current Account Deficit (CAD) in India leads to which of the following effects?

A) Depreciation of the Rupee
B) Increase in Foreign Exchange Reserves
C) Reduction in external borrowing
D) Increase in government fiscal surplus

Answer: A) Depreciation of the Rupee

📌 Explanation: A high CAD leads to a higher demand for foreign exchange, weakening the rupee. India must borrow externally or use forex reserves to cover the gap.


6. Which of the following transactions is recorded in the Capital Account of BoP?

A) Software exports from India
B) NRI remittances to India
C) Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)
D) Tourism earnings

Answer: C) Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)

📌 Explanation: Capital Account records long-term investments like FDI, FPI (Foreign Portfolio Investments), External Commercial Borrowings (ECB), and changes in forex reserves.


7. Which of the following is NOT a part of India’s Balance of Payments?

A) Net trade in goods and services
B) Reserve money (M0)
C) Capital flows (FDI, FPI)
D) External debt repayments

Answer: B) Reserve money (M0)

📌 Explanation: M0 (Reserve Money) is a monetary policy tool controlled by RBI, not a component of BoP. BoP deals with international economic transactions.


8. If India's BoP is in surplus, it means that:

A) Foreign exchange reserves are declining
B) Foreign exchange reserves are increasing
C) The rupee is depreciating
D) India is borrowing more from foreign markets

Answer: B) Foreign exchange reserves are increasing

📌 Explanation: A BoP surplus means capital inflows (FDI, FPI, remittances) exceed outflows, increasing forex reserves.


9. The term ‘Invisible Trade’ in BoP refers to:

A) Illegal trade activities
B) Trade of physical goods
C) Trade of services, remittances, and transfers
D) Stock market transactions

Answer: C) Trade of services, remittances, and transfers

📌 Explanation: Invisible Trade includes services (IT, banking, tourism), remittances (money sent by NRIs), and transfers (aid, grants) recorded in the Current Account.


10. Special Drawing Rights (SDRs) are issued by:

A) Reserve Bank of India (RBI)
B) International Monetary Fund (IMF)
C) World Bank
D) United Nations (UN)

Answer: B) International Monetary Fund (IMF)

📌 Explanation: SDRs (Special Drawing Rights) are an international reserve asset created by IMF to supplement member countries' foreign exchange reserves.


11. Which of the following measures can help in reducing India’s Current Account Deficit (CAD)?

  1. Increasing exports
  2. Reducing oil imports
  3. Depreciation of the Rupee
  4. Increasing foreign debt

A) 1 and 2 only
B) 2 and 4 only
C) 1, 2, and 3 only
D) 1, 3, and 4 only

Answer: C) 1, 2, and 3 only

📌 Explanation: CAD can be reduced by increasing exports, cutting unnecessary imports (like gold), and allowing the rupee to depreciate (which makes exports cheaper). Foreign debt increases external liabilities.


12. What is the effect of a large capital inflow (FDI/FPI) on India’s BoP?

A) It leads to a Balance of Payments deficit
B) It strengthens India's foreign exchange reserves
C) It weakens the rupee
D) It increases India’s trade deficit

Answer: B) It strengthens India's foreign exchange reserves

📌 Explanation: Higher FDI/FPI inflows bring more foreign currency into India, increasing forex reserves and improving the capital account balance.


13. Which of the following best describes a Balance of Payments Crisis?

A) Rapid economic growth due to high exports
B) Decline in foreign exchange reserves and currency depreciation
C) Increase in domestic savings and investments
D) Reduction in external debt

Answer: B) Decline in foreign exchange reserves and currency depreciation

📌 Explanation: A BoP crisis occurs when a country runs persistent CAD, leading to forex depletion and currency depreciation. India faced such crises in 1991 and 2013.


14. The term ‘Twin Deficits’ in the Indian economy refers to:

A) Budget Deficit and Balance of Trade Surplus
B) Fiscal Deficit and Current Account Deficit (CAD)
C) Inflation and Interest Rate Deficit
D) GDP Deficit and Forex Deficit

Answer: B) Fiscal Deficit and Current Account Deficit (CAD)

📌 Explanation: Twin Deficits refer to a situation where a country faces both a fiscal deficit (excess govt spending over revenue) and a CAD (excess imports over exports).


15. Which of the following statements is correct regarding India’s BoP?

A) India always has a Current Account Surplus.
B) India’s BoP includes both Current and Capital Accounts.
C) India's foreign exchange reserves are managed by the World Bank.
D) India’s Capital Account records only trade in goods and services.

Answer: B) India’s BoP includes both Current and Capital Accounts.

📌 Explanation: India’s BoP has both Current Account (trade, services, remittances) and Capital Account (FDI, FPI, loans). Forex reserves are managed by RBI, not the World Bank.


🔹 EASY LEVEL (Basic Concepts of BoP)

1. Consider the following statements regarding Balance of Payments (BoP):

  1. The BoP consists of a Current Account and a Capital Account.
  2. A Balance of Payments surplus means that a country's foreign exchange reserves are decreasing.

Which of the above statements is/are correct?
A) 1 only
B) 2 only
C) Both 1 and 2
D) Neither 1 nor 2

Answer: A) 1 only
📌 Explanation: BoP includes Current and Capital Accounts (✔️). A surplus in BoP increases forex reserves, not decreases (❌).


2. Consider the following transactions:

  1. Export of software services by India
  2. Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in India
  3. Remittances from Indians working abroad

Which of the above transactions are part of the Current Account in BoP?
A) 1 and 2 only
B) 1 and 3 only
C) 2 and 3 only
D) 1, 2, and 3

Answer: B) 1 and 3 only
📌 Explanation: Current Account includes trade (goods & services) and remittances. FDI is recorded in the Capital Account.


3. Which of the following will lead to a Current Account Surplus for India?

  1. Increase in software exports
  2. Higher crude oil imports
  3. More foreign remittances received

Select the correct answer using the codes given below:
A) 1 and 2 only
B) 1 and 3 only
C) 2 and 3 only
D) 1, 2, and 3

Answer: B) 1 and 3 only
📌 Explanation: Higher exports and remittances improve the Current Account balance. Higher crude oil imports worsen it.


4. Which organization is responsible for publishing India's Balance of Payments data?

A) Ministry of Finance
B) Reserve Bank of India (RBI)
C) NITI Aayog
D) World Bank

Answer: B) Reserve Bank of India (RBI)
📌 Explanation: The RBI publishes quarterly BoP data for India.


5. A Balance of Payments (BoP) deficit can be corrected by:

A) Increasing imports
B) Reducing foreign exchange reserves
C) Encouraging capital inflows (FDI, FPI)
D) Printing more currency

Answer: C) Encouraging capital inflows (FDI, FPI)
📌 Explanation: Capital inflows help offset a BoP deficit by bringing in foreign exchange.


6. What is the primary cause of India's Current Account Deficit (CAD)?

A) High exports of software services
B) Low remittance inflows
C) Large imports of crude oil and gold
D) High defense spending

Answer: C) Large imports of crude oil and gold
📌 Explanation: India imports ~85% of its oil and large quantities of gold, increasing CAD.


🔹 MEDIUM LEVEL (Conceptual Application of BoP)

7. Consider the following transactions in India’s BoP:

  1. Indian students paying tuition fees abroad
  2. Foreign tourists spending in India
  3. Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) investing in Indian stock markets

Which of the above transactions are part of the Current Account?
A) 1 and 2 only
B) 2 and 3 only
C) 1 and 3 only
D) 1, 2, and 3

Answer: A) 1 and 2 only
📌 Explanation: Education payments and tourism earnings are part of the Current Account, while FII is recorded in the Capital Account.


8. Which of the following statements about the Capital Account in BoP is correct?

A) It includes trade in goods and services.
B) It records investments, foreign loans, and foreign exchange reserves.
C) It has no impact on India's foreign exchange reserves.
D) It includes remittances received from NRIs.

Answer: B) It records investments, foreign loans, and foreign exchange reserves.
📌 Explanation: The Capital Account deals with capital flows like FDI, FPI, external borrowings, and forex reserves.


9. If India's Current Account Deficit (CAD) is increasing, what is its likely impact?

A) Rupee appreciation
B) Increase in forex reserves
C) Depreciation of the Rupee
D) Lower trade deficit

Answer: C) Depreciation of the Rupee
📌 Explanation: A high CAD leads to a fall in forex reserves, increasing demand for dollars and depreciating the Rupee.


🔹 DIFFICULT LEVEL (Advanced Understanding of BoP)

10. In India’s BoP, an increase in External Commercial Borrowings (ECB) will be recorded under:

A) Current Account
B) Capital Account
C) Both Current and Capital Accounts
D) None of the above

Answer: B) Capital Account
📌 Explanation: ECBs are part of the Capital Account, as they involve long-term foreign loans.


11. Which of the following policies will help improve India’s Balance of Payments position?

  1. Promoting import substitution
  2. Depreciation of the Rupee
  3. Increasing foreign portfolio investments

Select the correct answer using the codes below:
A) 1 and 2 only
B) 2 and 3 only
C) 1 and 3 only
D) 1, 2, and 3

Answer: D) 1, 2, and 3
📌 Explanation: Import substitution, Rupee depreciation (boosts exports), and capital inflows all help improve BoP.


🔹 CURRENT AFFAIRS BASED QUESTIONS (2023-24)

12. India recently signed a Free Trade Agreement (FTA) with which country to boost trade and investment?

A) Russia
B) Australia
C) USA
D) Japan

Answer: B) Australia
📌 Explanation: India-Australia Economic Cooperation and Trade Agreement (ECTA) was signed to boost exports.


13. India's trade deficit with China in 2023 crossed:

A) $50 billion
B) $100 billion
C) $150 billion
D) $200 billion

Answer: B) $100 billion
📌 Explanation: India’s trade deficit with China exceeded $100 billion in 2023 due to high imports of electronics and machinery.


14. Which of the following factors helped India maintain a stable forex reserve in 2023?

  1. Strong remittance inflows
  2. Increased services exports
  3. Large foreign borrowings

A) 1 and 2 only
B) 2 and 3 only
C) 1 and 3 only
D) 1, 2, and 3

Answer: A) 1 and 2 only
📌 Explanation: India’s stable forex reserves were supported by high remittances (~$100 billion) and IT exports.


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