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Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has announced his intention to resign as leader of the Liberal Party and, subsequently, as prime minister.He will remain in office until a new party leader is elected, a process expected to conclude by March 24, 2025.
Reasons for Resignation:
Declining Public Support: Since the 2021 federal election, the Liberal Party has experienced a steady decline in public support. By December 2024, polls indicated that the party's vote intent had fallen to 16%, placing it behind both the Conservative Party and the New Democratic Party (NDP).
Internal Party Dissent: In October 2024, a group of 24 Liberal Members of Parliament (MPs) signed a letter urging Trudeau to resign, expressing concerns about his leadership. Although Trudeau initially resisted these calls, internal pressures persisted.
Cabinet Resignations: The latter part of 2024 saw significant resignations within Trudeau's cabinet, including Deputy Prime Minister and Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland in December. Freeland's departure, citing a loss of confidence, intensified speculation about Trudeau's leadership stability.
Immediate Implications:
Leadership Transition: The Liberal Party will organize a leadership election to select Trudeau's successor. During this period, Trudeau will continue to serve as prime minister until the new leader is chosen.
Parliament Prorogued: Governor General Mary Simon has prorogued Parliament until March 24, 2025, allowing the Liberal Party to focus on its leadership election without parliamentary obligations.
Future Considerations:
Federal Election: A federal election is mandated to occur by late October 2025.The new Liberal leader will need to address internal party challenges and declining public support to effectively compete against opposition parties, particularly the Conservatives, who currently lead in polls.
Policy Continuity: The incoming leader will face decisions regarding the continuation or modification of policies implemented during Trudeau's tenure, including those related to economic management, foreign relations, and domestic affairs.
Trudeau's resignation marks a significant shift in Canadian politics, initiating a period of transition and uncertainty as the Liberal Party seeks to redefine its leadership and strategy ahead of the forthcoming federal election.